Texas Republicans Propose New Map to Gain Up to 5 House Seats, Threatening Several Democratic Incumbents


Texas Republicans Propose New Map to Gain Up to 5 House Seats, Threatening Several Democratic Incumbents

Austin — July 30, 2025 — In a rare and controversial mid-decade move, Texas Republican lawmakers unveiled a proposed congressional map Wednesday that could expand their dominance in the U.S. House. If adopted, the new plan would boost GOP-held seats in Texas from 25 to 30 out of 38, flipping as many as five seats currently held by Democrats.


What the Plan Does

  • Targets Democratic strongholds in Houston, Austin, Dallas, and South Texas.
  • Redraws districts such as Rep. Al Green’s (TX‑9) and the vacant TX‑18 to consolidate Democratic voters into fewer districts while dispersing Republican voters into neighboring Democratic-held seats.
  • Creates potential contests between Democratic incumbents—most notably Greg Casar and Lloyd Doggett in the Austin area—by consolidating their districts.



Likely GOP Targets & Democrats at Risk

Under the draft, at least five Democratic-held districts face serious pressure:


  1. TX‑9 (Al Green, Houston) → Shifted into a GOP-leaning area.
  2. TX‑18 (Vacant, formerly Sylvester Turner, Houston) → Combined with TX‑9 in a new majority-Hispanic district projected to favor Trump by 15 points.
  3. TX‑32 (Julie Johnson, Dallas suburbs) → Redrawn to include more Republican voters; may even merge with TX‑33 (Marc Veasey), potentially forcing a primary challenge between them.
  4. TX‑33 (Marc Veasey, Fort Worth/Dallas) → Lost Fort Worth base, drawing more from Dallas County and overlapping with Johnson’s district.
  5. TX‑35 (Greg Casar) and TX‑37 (Lloyd Doggett) → May be merged into a single Central Texas district, putting two incumbents head-to-head.
  6. South Texas seats (Henry Cuellar, Vicente Gonzalez) → Both districts would shift in Republican-leaning directions; still possible to be held, but their margins would shrink.



What It Means Politically



  • The map aims to protect and expand the Republican congressional majority ahead of the 2026 midterms, under pressure from former President Trump and supported by Governor Greg Abbott.
  • Analysts estimate the GOP could add 3–5 safe seats, tilting the delegation closer to 30R–8D if courts do not intervene.


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